Mafra vs Os Belenenses prediction: 1-2, Portugal Liga 3
Final score: Mafra 2 - 2 Os Belenenses. Data-led preview of Mafra vs Os Belenenses in Portugal Liga 3 round 6, weighing form and table position before settling on a 1-2 call with 42% confidence.
Full time: Mafra 2 - 2 Os Belenenses
The match finished Mafra 2 - 2 Os Belenenses on 11 October 2026 at Estadio Municipal de Mafra.
We called Os Belenenses 1-2 at 42% confidence. That was wrong. It is recorded as wrong in our public track record, alongside every other call we have published.
The preview below is unchanged from 11 October 2026, before the match was played.
Mafra welcome Os Belenenses to Estadio Municipal de Mafra on 11 October 2026 — 13:30 for round 6. This preview draws on the site’s data — recent results, league position, the record between them and bookmaker prices — and concludes with a call: 1-2.
Form going in
Over the last three, Mafra have scored 4 and let in 4, with a sequence of WLD. Os Belenenses have 6 for and 2 against across their last 3, a run of WWW.
| Date | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/09/19 | H vs Tirsense | 2-2 | D |
| 2026/09/12 | A vs Oliveirense | 1-2 | L |
| 2026/09/05 | H vs Sporting da Covilhã | 1-0 | W |
| Date | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/09/13 | H vs Atlético CP | 1-0 | W |
| 2026/09/06 | A vs Vitória de Sernache | 3-1 | W |
| 2026/08/30 | A vs Lusitano de Évora | 2-1 | W |
Where they stand
Mafra are 4th with 7 points, while Os Belenenses lead the way in 1st on 15. The 8-point gap is the most striking difference between them.
| Mafra | Os Belenenses | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4 | 1 |
| Points | 7 | 15 |
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Won / drawn / lost | 2 / 1 / 2 | 5 / 0 / 0 |
| Goals for | 9 | 13 |
| Goals against | 5 | 2 |
| Goal difference | +4 | +11 |
Mafra vs Os Belenenses prediction
The metrics edge towards Os Belenenses. The scoreline that fits the evidence best is 1-2, with confidence at 42%. It remains close to a coin toss, and is set down here as such.
Os Belenenses to win, 1-2 — confidence 42%.
- Mafra have taken 4 points from their last 3 (WLD); Os Belenenses have taken 9 from their last 3 (WWW).
- In the table Mafra sit 4th on 7 points, Os Belenenses 1st on 15.
- Taken together, the data leans to Os Belenenses.
Common questions
When do Mafra play Os Belenenses?
Mafra host Os Belenenses on 11 October 2026 — 13:30 at Estadio Municipal de Mafra.
Who is predicted to win Mafra vs Os Belenenses?
Os Belenenses are the pick. Our reading of the form, the table and the market ends at 1-2, with a stated confidence of 42%. It is an interpretation of the data, not a certainty.
Where is Mafra vs Os Belenenses being played?
At Estadio Municipal de Mafra.
This is a reading of the data, not a certainty. Any match can go the other way, and nothing here is advice to stake money. See how our past predictions actually went.
