Səbail vs Gəncəbasar prediction: 1-2, Azerbaijan First Division
Final score: Səbail 2 - 2 Gəncəbasar. Data-led preview of Səbail vs Gəncəbasar in round 7, weighing form and table position, with a narrow 1-2 lean towards the visitors at 33% confidence.
Full time: Səbail 2 - 2 Gəncəbasar
The match finished Səbail 2 - 2 Gəncəbasar on 5 November 2026 at ASCO Arena.
We called Gəncəbasar 1-2 at 33% confidence. That was wrong. It is recorded as wrong in our public track record, alongside every other call we have published.
The preview below is unchanged from 5 November 2026, before the match was played.
Səbail host Gəncəbasar at ASCO Arena on 5 November 2026 at 14:30 in round 7. It weighs up recent results, league position, the head-to-head and bookmaker prices, and lands on 1-2.
Form going in
Səbail’s last six read WWDWLD, with 9 scored and 6 conceded. Gəncəbasar arrive on WWWWWW, having netted 19 and let in 4 across their past six.
| Date | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/10/27 | H vs Zirə | 2-2 | D |
| 2026/10/21 | A vs Şahdağ Qusar | 0-1 | L |
| 2026/10/15 | A vs Zaqatala | 3-1 | W |
| 2026/10/08 | H vs Karvan | 1-1 | D |
| 2026/09/17 | A vs Baku Sportinq | 1-0 | W |
| 2026/09/10 | H vs Mingəçevir | 2-1 | W |
| Date | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/10/29 | A vs Xankəndi | 3-2 | W |
| 2026/10/22 | H vs Zaqatala | 7-0 | W |
| 2026/10/10 | H vs Baku Sportinq | 2-0 | W |
| 2026/09/17 | A vs Mingəçevir | 3-0 | W |
| 2026/09/10 | H vs Xankəndi | 2-1 | W |
| 2026/09/04 | A vs Şi̇mal | 2-1 | W |
Where they stand
Səbail are 4th with 11 points, while Gəncəbasar lead the way in 1st on 15. The 4-point gap stands out as the clearest difference between them.
| Səbail | Gəncəbasar | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4 | 1 |
| Points | 11 | 15 |
| Played | 6 | 6 |
| Won / drawn / lost | 3 / 2 / 1 | 5 / 0 / 1 |
| Goals for | 8 | 17 |
| Goals against | 5 | 4 |
| Goal difference | +3 | +13 |
Səbail vs Gəncəbasar prediction
The numbers edge towards Gəncəbasar. The best-fit scoreline is 1-2, at 33% confidence. It is still near a coin toss, and is presented here as such.
Gəncəbasar to win, 1-2 — confidence 33%.
- Səbail have taken 11 points from their last 6 (WWDWLD); Gəncəbasar have taken 18 from their last 6 (WWWWWW).
- In the table Səbail sit 4th on 11 points, Gəncəbasar 1st on 15.
- Taken together, the data leans to Gəncəbasar.
Common questions
When do Səbail play Gəncəbasar?
Səbail host Gəncəbasar on 5 November 2026 — 14:30 at ASCO Arena.
Who is predicted to win Səbail vs Gəncəbasar?
Gəncəbasar are the pick. Our reading of the form, the table and the market ends at 1-2, with a stated confidence of 33%. It is an interpretation of the data, not a certainty.
Where is Səbail vs Gəncəbasar being played?
At ASCO Arena.
This is a reading of the data, not a certainty. Any match can go the other way, and nothing here is advice to stake money. See how our past predictions actually went.
