Vardar vs STG prediction: 3-2, Macedonian First League
Final score: Vardar 0 - 1 STG. Measured preview of Vardar vs STG in round 12, weighing form and table before settling on a 3-2 call for Vardar with 33% confidence.
Full time: Vardar 0 - 1 STG
The match finished Vardar 0 - 1 STG on 2 November 2026 at Toše Proeski Arena.
We called Vardar 3-2 at 33% confidence. That was wrong. It is recorded as wrong in our public track record, alongside every other call we have published.
The preview below is unchanged from 2 November 2026, before the match was played.
Vardar host STG at Toše Proeski Arena on 2 November 2026 — 16:30, in round 12. This preview weighs the data we hold — recent results, league position, the record between them and the prices bookmakers are offering — and settles on 3-2.
Form going in
Over their last six, Vardar have scored 10 and conceded 4, with a sequence of WDWWWD. STG have 16 for and 4 against over the same run, reading WDWLWW.
| Date | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/10/24 | A vs Shkëndija | 0-0 | D |
| 2026/10/17 | A vs Bregalnica Štip | 1-0 | W |
| 2026/10/11 | A vs Skopje | 2-1 | W |
| 2026/09/19 | H vs Shkëndija Haraçinë | 2-0 | W |
| 2026/09/12 | A vs Bashkimi | 3-3 | D |
| 2026/09/07 | H vs Arsimi | 2-0 | W |
| Date | Match | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/10/24 | H vs Skopje | 4-0 | W |
| 2026/10/17 | A vs Shkëndija Haraçinë | 2-0 | W |
| 2026/10/12 | A vs Bashkimi | 1-2 | L |
| 2026/09/21 | H vs Arsimi | 6-0 | W |
| 2026/09/11 | A vs Tikvesh | 2-2 | D |
| 2026/09/07 | H vs Sileks | 1-0 | W |
Where they stand
Vardar are 3rd with 21 points; STG are 2nd on 23. Three points or fewer separate them, so the table alone is not going to settle this one.
| Vardar | STG | |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3 | 2 |
| Points | 21 | 23 |
| Played | 11 | 11 |
| Won / drawn / lost | 6 / 3 / 2 | 7 / 2 / 2 |
| Goals for | 17 | 26 |
| Goals against | 9 | 7 |
| Goal difference | +8 | +19 |
Vardar vs STG prediction
The numbers edge towards Vardar. The scoreline that fits the evidence best is 3-2, with a confidence of 33%. It still feels close to a coin toss, and is framed as such.
Vardar to win, 3-2 — confidence 33%.
- Vardar have taken 14 points from their last 6 (WDWWWD); STG have taken 13 from their last 6 (WDWLWW).
- In the table Vardar sit 3rd on 21 points, STG 2nd on 23.
- Taken together, the data leans to Vardar.
Common questions
When do Vardar play STG?
Vardar host STG on 2 November 2026 — 16:30 at Toše Proeski Arena.
Who is predicted to win Vardar vs STG?
Vardar are the pick. Our reading of the form, the table and the market ends at 3-2, with a stated confidence of 33%. It is an interpretation of the data, not a certainty.
Where is Vardar vs STG being played?
At Toše Proeski Arena.
This is a reading of the data, not a certainty. Any match can go the other way, and nothing here is advice to stake money. See how our past predictions actually went.
